Japan continues to sink into deflation
The Japanese consumer prices fell in July for the 17th consecutive month on an annual basis, a sign that deflation remains entrenched in the archipelago and Nippon will be difficult to fight for the government.
Tokyo seeks the method that will curb the rising yen, which this week hit a high of 15 years against the dollar and a high of nine against the euro, threatening to bring down a recovery that based on exports.
But the strong yen is likely to complicate efforts by the Japanese government to fight deflation.
Japanese Prime Minister, Naoto Kan, said Friday that reporters would act when necessary on the issue of the strong yen and he would meet the Governor of the Bank of Japan Masaaki Shirakawa on his return from a trip to the abroad.
Naoto Kan also said that excessive currency fluctuations could threaten financial stability and hoped that the BoJ would take the appropriate measures in terms of monetary policy.
Decisions will be made August 31 on these issues.
The Interior Ministry announced Friday that consumer prices, which include fuel costs but not those of fresh products, fell 1.1% yoy in July according to the median forecast of the market. In June, they were down 1%.
"TWO OR THREE YEARS OF DEFLATION"
"Given the appreciation of the yen, exports will plunge and temporarily slow the economic recovery in Japan.Japan will remain in deflation for the next two or three years, "said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institue.
Investors are betting on an intervention by the Bank of Japan to ease monetary policy in the country.
"The BoJ could expand its refinancing tools next month, but the effect on interest rates in the short term will be limited.She needs to take bolder decisions to fight deflation and the rising yen, as increasing outright purchases of government bonds, although it is very unlikely to happen, "said Takeshi Minami.
Two other indicators released Friday offers a contrasting vision of the Japanese recovery.
The unemployment rate adjusted for seasonal variations fell 5.2% in July against 5.3% in June while the median forecast was 5.3%, according to figures from the Ministry of Internal Affairs.
Household spending has in turn increased by 1.1% in July over a year in real terms, less than the market forecast of an increase of 1.3%.
For a chart comparing the evolution of consumer prices in Japan, the United States and the euro area, click on link.reuters.com/pum57n
